Title:
Bayesian statistics the fun way : understanding statistics and probability with Star Wars, LEGO, and Rubber Ducks
Author:
Publication Date:
2019
Publication Information:
San Francisco : No Starch Press, [2019]
Physical Description:
xxii, 264 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
ISBN:
9781593279561
Abstract:
"An introduction to Bayesian statistics with simple and pop culture-based explanations. Topics covered include measuring your own uncertainty in a belief, applying Bayes' theorem, and calculating distributions"-- Provided by publisher.
General Note:
Includes index.
Contents:
Part 1. Introduction to probability -- Ch. 1. Bayesian thinking and everyday reasoning -- Ch. 2. Measuring uncertainty -- Ch. 3. The logic of uncertainty -- Ch. 4. Creating a binomial probability distribution -- Ch. 5. The beta distribution -- Part 2. Bayesian probability and prior probabilities -- Ch. 6. Conditional probability -- Ch. 7. Bayes' theorem with LEGO -- Ch. 8. The prior, likelihood, and posterior of Bayes' theorem -- Ch. 9. Bayesian priors and working with probability distributions -- Part 3. Parameter estimation -- Ch. 10. Introduction to averaging and parameter estimation -- Ch. 11. Measuring the spread of our data -- Ch. 12. The normal distribution -- Ch. 13. Tools of parameter estimation : the PDF, CDF, and Quantile function -- Ch. 14. Parameter estimation with prior probabilities -- Part 4. Hypothesis testing : the heart of statistics -- Ch. 15. From parameter estimation to hypothesis testing : building a Bayesian A/B test -- Ch. 16. Introduction to the Bayes factor and posterior odds : the competition of ideas -- Ch. 17. Bayesian reasoning in the twilight zone -- Ch. 18. When data doesn't convince you -- Ch. 19. From hypothesis testing to parameter estimation -- Appendix A: A quick introduction to R -- Appendix B: Enough calculus to get by.
Language:
English
